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Tennessee New Home Market Report: Growth, Trends, and Opportunities

An in-depth look at Tennessee's new home construction market, including the fastest-growing markets, pricing trends, and what's driving unprecedented demand across the state.

Tennessee's New Home Market: A National Leader

Tennessee has emerged as one of the most active new home construction markets in the United States. Driven by strong in-migration, a favorable business climate, no state income tax, and a growing economy, Tennessee's new home market has consistently outperformed national averages in recent years.

Key Market Drivers

Population Growth: Tennessee's population has grown by over 10% in the past decade, with the Nashville and Knoxville metros leading the way. This growth is driven by corporate relocations, remote workers seeking affordability, and retirees attracted to Tennessee's climate and lifestyle.

Economic Strength: Major employers including Amazon, Oracle, AllianceBernstein, and numerous healthcare and automotive companies have established or expanded operations in Tennessee, creating thousands of high-paying jobs and driving housing demand.

No State Income Tax: Tennessee is one of only nine states with no state income tax, making it particularly attractive to high-income earners from states like California, New York, and Illinois.

Affordability (Relative): While Tennessee home prices have risen significantly, they remain more affordable than coastal markets. This relative affordability continues to attract buyers from higher-cost states.

Market-by-Market Overview

Nashville Metro

The Nashville metropolitan area — including Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Maury counties — is the largest and most active new home market in Tennessee. Key trends:

  • Williamson County (Franklin, Brentwood, Spring Hill) commands premium prices, with new homes typically starting above $600,000
  • Rutherford County (Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne) offers the best value in the Nashville metro, with new homes starting in the $300,000s
  • Sumner County (Gallatin, Hendersonville) tied for first nationally in new home sales growth in 2025, with sales of newly built homes surging 44%
  • Wilson County (Lebanon, Mt. Juliet) continues to attract buyers seeking value with Nashville access

Knoxville Metro

The Knoxville metropolitan area has experienced strong growth, driven by the University of Tennessee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and a growing technology sector. New home prices range from the $280,000s in outlying areas to over $600,000 in premium communities.

Chattanooga Metro

Chattanooga has transformed into one of Tennessee's most desirable cities, with a vibrant downtown, outdoor recreation, and a growing technology sector. New home prices range from the $270,000s to over $500,000.

Memphis Metro

Memphis offers the most affordable new home options in Tennessee, with prices starting in the $240,000s in outlying areas. The market has seen increased activity from national builders seeking value-oriented markets.

Tri-Cities

The Tri-Cities area (Johnson City, Kingsport, Bristol) offers excellent value, with new homes starting in the $250,000s. The area's strong healthcare sector and Appalachian lifestyle continue to attract buyers from across the region.

Outlook

Tennessee's new home market is expected to remain active through 2025 and beyond, supported by continued population growth, strong employment, and ongoing demand from out-of-state buyers. Supply constraints — including lot availability and construction labor — will continue to moderate growth in some markets, particularly in the Nashville metro.